The Caucus

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The Caucus

The Caucus. 27 stories, newest first. All writers.

SenateOctober 21, 2026

Ranking the 9 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 2 Weeks Out

Annie Andrews moves into 8th as her campaign in South Carolina has momentum

Rating ChangesOctober 20, 2026

Rating Changes: Two Weeks Out

Twelve races moved on our board, and every one of them went toward Democrats

HouseOctober 19, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 2 Weeks Out

Max Miller is down to $122,835 as the fundraising numbers of the fall reshuffle the list

The Caucus · The Caucus · October 18, 2026

What 2028 Democratic Hopefuls Have in the Bank

Federal and state money for contenders The Caucus is currently tracking

The Caucus · The Caucus · October 18, 2026

The Third-Quarter Money in Competitive House Races

What each campaign raised and spent from July through September, and what is left for the last two weeks

The Caucus · The Caucus · October 18, 2026

The Third-Quarter Money in Competitive Senate Races

What each campaign raised and spent from July through September, and what is left for the last two weeks

The Caucus · The Caucus · October 16, 2026

Powered By People Is Hitting 22 Texas Campuses Before Election Day

Beto O'Rourke's organization has 130+ events scheduled across Texas

SenateOctober 14, 2026

Ranking the 9 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

South Carolina joins the list, and both parties quit North Carolina in the same week

Rating ChangesOctober 13, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of October 12th

Nine races moved, including three Senate seats and a governor's race

HouseOctober 11, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: 3 Weeks Out

VA-01 jumps into the toss ups as all five of our ratings changes go one way

SenateOctober 6, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

Kansas moves up, and Republicans pull $18 million out of North Carolina to pay for it

Rating ChangesOctober 6, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of October 5th

We moved 3 formerly Safe Republican seats toward the Democrats

HouseOctober 5, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 4

IA-01 was our biggest mover of the week after we changed its rating to D Advantage

SenateSeptember 30, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Texas moves up, and we start tracking the seats Democrats are defending

Rating ChangesSeptember 29, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of September 28th

Six of our seven moves went toward Democrats

HouseSeptember 28, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 3

Five weeks out, the committees are starting to spend on offense

SenateSeptember 23, 2026

Ranking the 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Alaska and Iowa move up

Rating ChangesSeptember 22, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of September 21st

We moved eight races this week

HouseSeptember 21, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip: Week 2

Six weeks out, MI-04 and NJ-07 make the biggest jumps

SenateSeptember 16, 2026

Ranking 8 GOP-Held Senate Seats Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

Five of the eight are pure toss-ups

The Caucus · The Caucus · September 15, 2026

DCCC Adds Alaska Independent Bill Hill, Two Midwest Challengers to Red to Blue

Hill is running against Rep. Nick Begich, who won the seat by less than three points in 2024 while Trump carried Alaska by 13

Rating ChangesSeptember 15, 2026

Rating Changes: Week of September 14th

We moved seven races this week

HouseSeptember 14, 2026

The Top 25 House Districts Democrats Are Most Likely to Flip

We'll update our rankings every week ahead of the November election

SenateSeptember 9, 2026

The Nine Closest Senate Races 50+ Days Out From the Election

There are two additional states we see as potentially competitive if the environment changes

The Caucus · The Caucus · September 7, 2026

Deluzio Says He "Might" Run for PA Senate Seat in 2028

The two-term Congressman added that Sen. Fetterman "doesn't want to do the job."

The Caucus · The Caucus · September 4, 2026

Missouri Supreme Court Pauses GOP Gerrymander, Potentially Handing Seat Back to Cleaver

The 11-term Kansas City-area Congressman had been drawn into a Trump +17 district

The Caucus · The Caucus · September 3, 2026

Benson Reports Nearly $6 Million on Hand in Campaign for Michigan Governor

The campaign said it raised nearly $2 million since winning the Democratic nomination for the open seat

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